Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#51
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#50
Pace63.3#260
Improvement+3.1#56

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#51
Improvement+0.0#177

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#51
Improvement+3.1#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four25.3% n/a n/a
First Round33.2% n/a n/a
Second Round12.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 92   San Diego W 81-75 67%     1 - 0 +10.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2014 238   @ Loyola Marymount W 77-69 84%     2 - 0 +6.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Nov 18, 2014 174   Montana W 72-67 2OT 88%     3 - 0 +1.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Nov 22, 2014 3   @ Wisconsin L 54-78 9%     3 - 1 -0.1 +12.0 +12.0
  Nov 25, 2014 240   Idaho W 86-75 89%     4 - 1 +6.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 28, 2014 32   @ North Carolina St. L 54-60 32%     4 - 2 +8.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 06, 2014 60   @ St. Mary's W 82-71 44%     5 - 2 +21.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 14, 2014 311   Southern Utah W 79-60 96%     6 - 2 +7.1 -6.0 -6.0
  Dec 20, 2014 338   Abilene Christian W 77-33 98%     7 - 2 +27.7 -8.1 -8.1
  Dec 22, 2014 197   Houston W 75-73 OT 85%     8 - 2 +0.2 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 23, 2014 136   Loyola Chicago L 45-48 76%     8 - 3 -1.1 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 31, 2014 63   @ Colorado St. L 65-71 45%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +4.4 +5.2 +5.2
  Jan 03, 2015 122   Utah St. L 61-62 81%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -1.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 10, 2015 112   @ Wyoming L 54-65 60%     8 - 6 0 - 3 -4.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 13, 2015 97   UNLV W 82-73 OT 77%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +10.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 18, 2015 141   @ New Mexico W 69-59 67%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +14.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 21, 2015 346   San Jose St. W 86-36 99%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +31.7 -9.1 -9.1
  Jan 24, 2015 194   @ Air Force W 77-68 78%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +10.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 27, 2015 63   Colorado St. W 82-78 67%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +8.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 03, 2015 122   @ Utah St. W 68-63 63%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +10.7 +2.8 +2.8
  Feb 08, 2015 42   San Diego St. W 61-46 59%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +22.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 11, 2015 194   Air Force W 67-42 90%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +20.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 14, 2015 189   @ Fresno St. L 64-70 77%     16 - 7 8 - 4 -4.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 18, 2015 97   @ UNLV W 53-48 57%     17 - 7 9 - 4 +12.3 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 21, 2015 259   Nevada W 78-46 94%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +23.7 -4.1 -4.1
  Feb 24, 2015 141   New Mexico W 76-65 83%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +9.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 28, 2015 42   @ San Diego St. W 56-46 36%     20 - 7 12 - 4 +22.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 04, 2015 346   @ San Jose St. W 68-51 97%     21 - 7 13 - 4 +4.5 -6.3 -6.3
  Mar 07, 2015 189   Fresno St. W 71-52 89%     22 - 7 14 - 4 +14.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Mar 12, 2015 194   Air Force W 80-68 85%     23 - 7 +10.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Mar 13, 2015 112   Wyoming L 66-71 OT 70%     23 - 8 -1.4 +1.8 +1.8
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 46.4% 46.4% 10.9 0.1 1.0 8.4 30.0 6.9 53.6 46.4%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 46.4% 0.0% 46.4% 10.9 0.1 1.0 8.4 30.0 6.9 53.6 46.4%